Monday 5 December 2011

Tuesday 29 November 2011

Friday 11 November 2011

euro wordle and interactive graphic









euro crisis newsnight 11 nov 2011

short term euro fix 11 nov 2011

euro crisis (guardian podcast nov 2011)

1930s compared to today (newsnight nov 2011 9 mins)

Monday 7 November 2011

t2.0 inflation investigations



Remember Presentation is due week b 14/11



  • Group B Wednesday p3 room C

  • Group C Wednesday p2 room 9

  • Group E Wednesday p5 room C

    Your reseach and findings should be presented in one/two slides (powerpoint) with data/time series plus key points stating the present position of your variable + predictions for 2012 + plus the direction and magnatude in which UK CPI is being pushed

Thursday 3 November 2011

big picture discussions



slides for presentation

flanders at the bbc discusses key issues
future of the euro (20 oct 2011)

whose fault is the economic crisis? (28 oct 2011)

soros on euro (26 oct 2011)

world institutions (2 nov 2011) (audio)

exchange rate movements ft

andrew sentance (ex mpc member)hard talk (2 sept 2011 28 mins video)

rogoff (ex imf chief economist) hard talk (1 oct 2011 25 mins video)

Friday 28 October 2011

competiton policy

uea centrehttp://www.blogger.com/img/blank.gif for competition policy

income distribution

l curve - representation of income distributionhttp://www.blogger.com/img/blank.gif

Tuesday 18 October 2011

why is the euro stronger than the pound?

guardian 15 oct 2011

Why is the euro stronger than the pound?
With the eurozone mired in economic and political crisis, what is keeping the single currency so strong?

guardian euro page

debate: should germany leave the eurozone?

roger bootle reuters - germany should

germany will never leave (ft)

germany should leave

eurozone crisis debate

Basic Euro History
1991: Maastricht Treaty – pathway for Euro
1999: Euro starts life as a currency
1999-2001: Original members of system lock their currencies for two years
2002: Notes and coins come into circulation
2007: Slovenia becomes first of the new member states to enter the currency union
2008-09: Three new nations – Slovakia, Cyprus and Malta – the Euro Area extends to 16 nations
2011; estonia joins 17 nations in Eurozone

the future of the euro (bbc stephanie flanders oct 2011)







Euro essentials
Monetary union is a deepening of economic integration between participating countries
A single currency requires a common interest rate for the Euro Zone – i.e. a common monetary policy
Countries have locked their currencies together forever and adopted one currency as a medium of exchange
Euro as a currency floats against US dollar and sterling
Member nations are also required (in principle) to keep control of government borrowing i.e. They are not allowed to run large budget deficits > 3% of their GDP (in normal times)

Challenges facing the Euro Zone
1/Little common fiscal policy
Big differences in size of fiscal deficits and debt levels
Fiscal stability pact has effectively collapsed

2/ Growing risk of one or more Euro Area countries defaulting on some of their debts
Will Euro Area nations bail out fellow members?
Years of fiscal austerity for some nations will create deep economic and social pressures

3/ Doubts about the likely strength of recovery
Unemployment high and rising

4/ Longer term challenges
Growth and employment creation in the Euro Area has not been noticeably higher than in countries outside the currency union
2008-10 crisis has highlighted the problems of setting a common interest rate for 16 nations
Larger economic imbalances within the 16 nation currency union over wage levels, trade balances and productivity will also need to be addressed if the Euro Zone is to avoid future crises
Several weaker countries have become uncompetitive inside the Euro and this requires painful corrective policies which will be unpopular

Rising cost-push inflation could lead to higher interest rates and choke off confidence as recovery starts

Crisis links 2011:

ft eurozone crisis page

bbc eurozone crisis + global economy page

aljazeera euro crisis page

martin wolf oct 18 2011

chain reaction default








bbc on launch of euro (1999)

map growth of eurozone

where is the coin from?

eu euro homepage

monetary policy issues:

ecb homepage

price stability cartoon

price stablility report

inflation dashboard

eurozone report 2009

Research links
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/euro

inside europe (bbc)

eurozone graphics

euro introduction (t2u)

t2u blog posts euro

greece in depth (ft)

newsnight 24/06/2011 (1.00-15.00/ 27.48-43.30)

#euro (twitter)

#greece (twitter)

Wednesday 12 October 2011

Friday 7 October 2011

Tuesday 13 September 2011

Friday 1 July 2011

rich and superrich

us inequality (ft)

sem - labour mobility

buy british employers told (bbc)

economic centre of gravity



black dots represent exisitng data on worlds centre of economic activity from 1980 to 2008 (shifting from mid atlantic to med) red dots continue projections to 2049 when it settles between India and China. Read below for more detail:


danny quah academic paper

alphaville (ft)

Thursday 23 June 2011

euro debate

Basic Euro History
1991: Maastricht Treaty – pathway for Euro
1999: Euro starts life as a currency
1999-2001: Original members of system lock their currencies for two years
2002: Notes and coins come into circulation
2007: Slovenia becomes first of the new member states to enter the currency union
2008-09: Three new nations – Slovakia, Cyprus and Malta – the Euro Area extends to 16 nations
2011; estonia joins 17 nations in Eurozone

Euro essentials
Monetary union is a deepening of economic integration between participating countries
A single currency requires a common interest rate for the Euro Zone – i.e. a common monetary policy
Countries have locked their currencies together forever and adopted one currency as a medium of exchange
Euro as a currency floats against US dollar and sterling
Member nations are also required (in principle) to keep control of government borrowing i.e. They are not allowed to run large budget deficits > 3% of their GDP (in normal times)

Challenges facing the Euro Zone
1/Little common fiscal policy
Big differences in size of fiscal deficits and debt levels
Fiscal stability pact has effectively collapsed

2/ Growing risk of one or more Euro Area countries defaulting on some of their debts
Will Euro Area nations bail out fellow members?
Years of fiscal austerity for some nations will create deep economic and social pressures

3/ Doubts about the likely strength of recovery
Unemployment high and rising

4/ Longer term challenges
Growth and employment creation in the Euro Area has not been noticeably higher than in countries outside the currency union
2008-10 crisis has highlighted the problems of setting a common interest rate for 16 nations
Larger economic imbalances within the 16 nation currency union over wage levels, trade balances and productivity will also need to be addressed if the Euro Zone is to avoid future crises
Several weaker countries have become uncompetitive inside the Euro and this requires painful corrective policies which will be unpopular

Rising cost-push inflation could lead to higher interest rates and choke off confidence as recovery starts







bbc on launch of euro (1999)

map growth of eurozone

where is the coin from?

eu euro homepage

monetary policy issues:

ecb homepage

price stability cartoon

price stablility report

inflation dashboard

eurozone report 2009

Research links
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/euro

inside europe (bbc)

eurozone graphics

euro introduction (t2u)

t2u blog posts euro

greece in depth (ft)

newsnight 24/06/2011 (1.00-15.00/ 27.48-43.30)

#euro (twitter)

#greece (twitter)

Friday 17 June 2011

Tuesday 10 May 2011

recessions and the credit crunch

the context of any macro discussion in econ 2 + 4 will be the credit crunch. Investigation of the following pages may build understanding:

essays on recession (econhelp)

essays on the credit crunch (econhelp)

Thursday 24 March 2011

Friday 18 March 2011

Wednesday 16 March 2011

uk growth

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t2u blog post


uk growth overview 1997-2010 (ft 25/03/11)

Tuesday 15 March 2011

new europe

the guardian - new europe

europe videos (t2u)

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Thursday 17 February 2011

international competitiveness

international competitiveness relates to the the ability to continue the sell the right products at the right price.

ccc = product / price

product issues:
invention + innovation + design + branding + quality + uniqueness + awareness

price issue:
domestic price x exchange rate

domestic price is influence by inflation rates, competitveness of markets, demand and supply (cost / productivity) issues in general

any of which could be developed into a valid point

recent articles:

uk productivity feb 2011 (ons)

uk inflation feb 2011

research and development in UK plc (bbc feb 2011)

the future of uk manufacturing (guardian feb 2011) mp3 30mins

the worlds most innovative companies 2011 (spot the Brit)

Monday 14 February 2011

trade videos

comparative and absolute advantage pj holden

tariffs and protectionsim pj holden

quotas and protectionism pj holden

subsidies pj holden

fault lines

Raghuram Rajan of the University of Chicago fault lines discussion

voted by academics the most influential economist of the post credit crunch world

the economist feb 2011

not so insightful "mistaking beauty for truth" nyt

"mathematics gave economics rigor, unfortunately it also give it mortis"

measuring trade

wto statistics (value added)

china v us trade deficit (t2u)

World news: Globalisation | guardian.co.uk

FT.com - World Economy 2012

BBC News - Eurozone crisis

Business: Eurozone crisis | guardian.co.uk

Euro in crisis -Financial Times

Currency Wars

UK Budget 2013: In depth news, commentary and analysis from the Financial Times

BBC News | Business | UK Edition

BBC News - UK economy

Business: Economics | guardian.co.uk

FT.com - UK Economy news

Latest financial, market & economic news and analysis | guardian.co.uk

FT.com - International economy

IMF Survey Magazine

IMF Survey Podcasts

Wash Post U.S. Economy